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Vol 4
Issue 7   | Summer 2016

FROM JACOB HACKER

As a new academic year dawns, we a very happy to welcome a new member of our academic team, Alex Coppock. Alex, a persuasive scholar of political persuasion, joins a team that’s at the top of its game, as new pieces by Eitan Hersh (in the Washington Post and 538.com) and David Mayhew (inYale News) suggest. (I hope I’ll be forgiven for touting a few of my own hits as well, notably this NYT Sunday Review piece on the economic models of “red" and “blue" states.) Meanwhile, ISPS star sociologist Andy Papachristos has also been much in the news—his work on gun-related violence is sadly timely, and hopefully will push policymakers to adopt more effective criminal justice strategies. Speaking of such strategies, Dahl Scholar Simone Seiver has started an innovative new "Connecticut Bail Fund" with two other Yale College students. ISPS’s growing contribution to social entrepreneurship also includes Adam Chekroud’s Spring, a program that matches depressed patients with more effective treatments.

UPCOMING EVENTS

CSAP SEMINARS begin Sept 7 with Andrew Gooch (Yale)
Please check the calendar here

QUANTITATIVE METHODS WORKSHOPS begin Sept 15 with Berk Özler (World Bank)
Please check the calendar here

DAHL FELLOWSHIP APPLICATIONS to open September 12
See link here

WELCOME A NEW ISPS RESIDENT FACULTY FELLOW




ISPS is pleased to welcome our newest faculty member and Resident Fellow, Alexander Coppock. Alex joins us as assistant professor of political science. He received his PhD in 2016 from Columbia
University, where he studied with, and co-authored many papers with former ISPS director, Don Green. His field of study is American Politics and Political Methodology, but his interests "extend beyond persuasion to the causes of mass political participation and the design and analysis of randomized experiments." See his website here.

FROM OUR BLOGSITE: LUX ET DATA







Michael Sierra-Arévalo, Graduate Student, writes "Broken Windows is Broken: Study Shows That a More Focused Approach to Tackling Street Violence Can Be More Effective." Originally in LSE US Policy blog.
Eric Chung, Graduate Policy Fellow, writes "Ensuring Every Student Succeeds by Locating Rights to Education."
Kate Baldwin, Faculty Fellow, writes "Unelected African Chiefs Make Their Countries More Democratic. Here’s How." Originally in Monkey Cage.
Simone Seiver, Dahl Scholar, writes "Poverty Should Not Be the Cause of Imprisonment in Connecticut." Originally in CT Times Mirror
Nikki Springer, Graduate Policy Fellow, writes "Tricky Questions on Solar Energy: Part Two."
Max Krahé, Graduate Policy Fellow, writes "The End of Free Trade or the Beginning for a New America?"
Limor Peer, Associate Director for Research, writes "Can Curation Prevent the Next Data Sharing Disaster?"

YALE DAY OF DATA 2016: CALL FOR PRESENTATIONS




The planning committee for the Yale Day of Data 2016 is seeking expressions of interest for presentations on December 2, 2016. The theme for this year will focus on open data, open software, reproducibility initiatives, and replication. The keynote speakers on December 2 will be: Harlan Krumholz, Harold H. Hines, Jr. Professor of Medicine and Director of the Yale Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation; Erin McKiernan, Professor of Physics, Biomedical Physics Program, National Autonomous University of Mexico; and Brian Nosek, co-founder and director, Center for Open Science. The event is co-sponsored by ISPS. Proposals for group or collaborative presentations are encouraged, including collaboration between Yale researchers and collaborators from other institutions.  A short description should be submitted online by September 15, 2016More information here.

ACADEMIC PAPERS

The difference between the noun 'voter' and the verb 'voting'? Not much. Alan Gerber, Greg Huber et al. replicate a well-known study on subtle linguistic changes and find that it has no effect on voter turnout, in British Journal of Political Science.  Related Story:  Pacific Standard Magazine

People are more altruistic when they don’t think so much. David Rand’s new paper, “Cooperation, Fast and Slow," in Psychological ScienceRelated Story: Science of Us

Church attendance may have a significant causal effect on voter turnout. Alan Gerber et al. publish paper on Blue Laws and the high probability of voting, in British Journal of Political Science.

The true costs of Medicaid using Oregon health insurance experiment data. Amanda Kowalski’s new research finds that Medicaid expansion may decrease Emergency Room visits, an NBER Working Paper.  Related Story: Yale News

When the ACA charges smokers more, they buy into the exchange less and smoke just as much. New research on the extra surcharge for smokers, co-written by ISPS Graduate Policy Fellow, Will Schpero, in Health Affairs.  Related Story: Yale News Q&A

A randomized experiment assigning mode of interview.
Andrew Gooch co-authors a paper with Lynn Vavrick, "How Face-to-Face Interviews and Cognitive Skill Affect Item Non-Response: A Randomized Experiment Assigning Mode of Interview,” in Political Science Research and Methods.

INTERVIEWS

The Red State- Blue State divide.  Jacob Hacker appears on CSPAN, WBUR, and The Wayne Beson Show to discuss the indicators of prosperity for blue states.
The House, the Senate, the 2016 Elections. Sterling Professor David Mayhew's Q & A on the 2016 Elections in Yale News.

Talking about a new WPA in the 21st Century. An interview with Jacob Hacker on Clinton and the Politics of Pre-Distribution in Bloomberg News

Analyzing how gun violence affects high-risk populations. A conversation with Andy Papachristos in Yale News. Related Paper:  American Sociological Review

Cronyism, Concentrated Markets and Dysfunctional Government
. Jacob Hacker discusses his new book American Amnesia on Forward Thinking Radio.

POPULAR MEDIA

The Return of the Public Option. Jacob Hacker revisits his original idea of the Public Option as a fix for Obamacare, in The New York Times, Vox and To the Point- KCRW.

Blue State Prosperity. Jacob Hacker (and Paul Pierson) write an op-ed comparing the economic and social well-being of red states vs. blue, in The New York Times.

Playing the role of partisan. Eitan Hersh writes about the depths of party affiliation in "What the Yankee-Red Sox Rivalry Can Teach Us about Political Polarization," in FiveThirtyEight.

The science of intergroup dynamics in voting. David Rand and Yarrow Dunham write an op-ed, "Will Sanders Supporters Come Around?" in The New York Times.

The GOP tactics at the convention. Jacob Hacker (and Paul Pierson) write an op-ed, "The Republican ‘lock her up!’ Chants Were Disturbing. They Were Also Inevitable," in Washington Post.

Marrying outside the party faithful.  Eitan Hersh on his new research: "How Many Republicans Marry Democrats," in Washington Post’s Wonkblog.

Experts weigh in on Hillary, Bernie and the Democrats.  Jacob Hacker adds his thoughts to the future of the Democratic party, in New Republic.

The surprising spread of competition in the US elections. Eitan Hersh writes, "With Trump in the Race, the Battleground is Everywhere," in FiveThirtyEight.

A 21st Century view of the role of government: Video available of panel of experts with Jacob Hacker at Economic Policy Institute. 

QUOTE US

"It turns out that they [Democrats and Republicans] don’t behave so differently in response to information." Alex Coppock in "We Study What Makes People More Liberal. But What Makes People More Conservative." FiveThirtyEight

“Gunfire is much more like HIV or hepatitis C than a flu or a cold.”  Andy Papachristos in “Gun Violence is Like an STI in the Way It Moves Between People.” Science of Us

“People vote because they’re worried others will think less of them if they don’t.  LSE US blog on the work of Greg Huber, Alan Gerber, et al.  Related Paper:  British Journal of Political Science

"Violence in high-poverty neighborhoods passes from person to person like a virus." Andy Papachristos explains gun culture “Chicago Is Way, Way More Violent Than New York." Chicagoist.com

“If you want to shift the discussion about gun violence and if you want a lower homicide rate, that means you need to save the lives of the people getting shot.” Andy Papachristos In "New Orleans Searches for the Truth." FiveThirtyEight

“There are books written that are descriptive exercises of what the campaign was doing. But in terms of a valid, unbiased, randomized assessment of its effectiveness, I don’t think we know much at all.”  Greg Huber in “How Political Candidates Know If You’re Neurotic. Technology Review

“Last year, a family of four would have spent an average of $17,545 for health insurance, which is the price of a Toyota Corolla.”  Zack Cooper on the cost of health care in "What’s Behind Wide-Scale Hospital Price Variations?" Managed Healthcare Executive

“We feel that nobody should be locked up just because they can’t afford bail.” Simone Seiver, ISPS Director’s Fellow and Dahl Scholar, on starting up the Connecticut Bail Fund. Wall Street Journal and New Haven Register.  See also YEI news on social entrepreneurship.